Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.889856 1.015567 1.152525 1.312801 1.495225 1.696405 1.935136
2025-02-16 0.697033 0.869199 1.073625 1.334209 1.657602 2.045895 2.547844
2025-02-23 0.570147 0.756634 0.991855 1.310236 1.730066 2.265073 2.999415
2025-03-02 0.486869 0.679883 0.935665 1.299291 1.803145 2.477207 3.448823
2025-03-09 0.429416 0.626729 0.899640 1.304468 1.890007 2.706986 3.935545
2025-03-16 0.383728 0.582657 0.868556 1.309115 1.971284 2.930599 4.428896
2025-03-23 0.348402 0.548505 0.846342 1.321547 2.061281 3.170392 4.963575
2025-03-30 0.309119 0.503300 0.801880 1.293918 2.085208 3.310015 5.354805
2025-04-06 0.275870 0.463540 0.761036 1.266357 2.104160 3.440193 5.738637
2025-04-13 0.244247 0.422814 0.714149 1.223371 2.092304 3.517532 6.039908
2025-04-20 0.237646 0.423076 0.733909 1.292026 2.270518 3.918436 6.913621
2025-04-27 0.230027 0.420610 0.748446 1.352397 2.438931 4.315516 7.814007
2025-05-04 0.220318 0.413843 0.755502 1.401380 2.593887 4.706331 8.746279
2025-05-11 0.207310 0.399785 0.748326 1.424042 2.703660 5.027158 9.582772
2025-05-18 0.189000 0.373862 0.716933 1.398464 2.721089 5.180727 10.120679
2025-05-25 0.174471 0.353681 0.694217 1.386787 2.762893 5.381485 10.763839
2025-06-01 0.163494 0.339344 0.681186 1.392311 2.837717 5.649687 11.559702
2025-06-08 0.153467 0.325906 0.668591 1.397268 2.911276 5.920481 12.382966
2025-06-15 0.145199 0.315268 0.660553 1.410533 3.002376 6.232660 13.316515
2025-06-22 0.133423 0.296065 0.633256 1.381055 3.001720 6.357954 13.870090
2025-06-29 0.122751 0.278215 0.607171 1.351648 2.998233 6.476253 14.417589
2025-07-06 0.111621 0.258290 0.574896 1.305783 2.954767 6.505881 14.773616
2025-07-13 0.111253 0.262596 0.595591 1.379036 3.180510 7.132391 16.506090